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DECADE RESULTS 25% POT (flat stake)
Dec 2018 to today 32% POT (Kelly stake)
Table 1
Decade graph for Rural Ace 2008 - October 16 2019


This is the steady profit graph of the member Rural Ace bets since 2008. It is based on a one unit bet of $100 per selection and members get an update every week. Starting with a $1000 bank we have increased our capital over 3300%. The Profit on Turnover is 25% long term (i.e. for every bet you make you get back on average $126). It is the best long term betting strategy in Australian racing services bar none (but please let me know if anything is better out there!)

Caulfield Raceguide - 19 October 2019
Rail: True Entire Circuit.    Track: GOOD 4   PM Showers Wind (Max: 15)

3 
Polytrack Gothic Stakes $175,0001400m
GOOD 4 3CG Type:OPEN Group LR API:13.1 Surface:T I like the 3 from 1 here1:25 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
11x 
Heirborn 9 () (Anthony Freedman)     Ben Melham  
56.0 43 $4.20 
4x228 
The Executioner 6 () (Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young)     Michael Walker  
55.0 38.5  
4x116 
Hilo 4 () (James Cummings)     Damian Lane  
55.0 45.5 $2.10 
111x4 
Shift The Risk 5 () (T & C Mcevoy)     Damien Oliver  
55.0 40  
2x217 
Defiant Dancer 10 () (Phillip Stokes)     J Allen  
55.0 36  
07212 
Astraeus 1 () (Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young)     Dwayne Dunn  
55.0 39.5  
3x413 
Triton Rising 8 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Luke Nolen  
55.0 41 $11.00 
1x25 
Alabama Express 7 () (Michael Moroney)     Michael Dee  
55.0 41 $11.00 
21 
Lord Markel 2 () (Wendy Kelly)     Brett Prebble  
55.0 39.5  
10 3x4 
Nicconi Storm 3 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Craig Williams  
55.0 35  

4 
Ladbrokes Classic $350,0002000m
GOOD 4 3 WT:SW Type:OPEN Group 3 API:14 Surface:T Too open2:00 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
17x17 
Power Scheme 2 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Brett Prebble  
57.0 44.5 $6.00 
11x73 
Huntly Castle 9 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Jye Mc Neil  
57.0 41 $31.00 
4x341 
Warning 8 () (Anthony Freedman)     M Harley  
57.0 44.5 $6.00 
82x40 
Creator 6 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)     Damian Lane  
57.0 45 $5.00 
22174 
Brilliant Venture 7 () (Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra)     Jamie Mott  
57.0 37.5  
1651 
Miroku 1 () (Phillip Stokes)     J Allen  
57.0 38.5  
3x251 
Thought Of That 4 () (Ciaron Maher & David Eustace)     Linda Meech  
57.0 42.5 $12.00 
7x825 
Serengeti 5 () (P G Carey)     Rhys Mcleod  
57.0 38.5  
3x113 
Miami Bound 3 () (Danny O'brien)     Damien Oliver  
55.0 46 $4.00 

5 
Carlton Draught Alinghi Stakes $175,0001100m
GOOD 4 3UFM Type:OPEN Group LR API:21.41 Surface:T Like the 3 from 42:35 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
4x1x6 
Demerara 5 () (James Cummings)     Craig Williams  
57.0 50  
466x1 
Humma Humma 9 () (John Mcardle)     Jamie Mott  
57.0 52 $6.50 
4x021 
Soothing 6 () (James Cummings)     Damian Lane  
57.0 55.5 $2.20 
35x91 
Prophet's Thumb 1 () (David Pfieffer)     Dwayne Dunn  
57.0 54 $3.30 
1x28x 
Vinicunca 2 () (G Waterhouse & A Bott)     Damien Oliver  
56.0 43  
14128 
Miss Iano 4 () (Mark Webb)     Ben Melham  
55.0 46.5  
8x945 
Working From Home 8 () (Daniel Bowman)     Declan Bates  
55.0 46.5  
0x383 
Victory Kingdom 7 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Luke Nolen  
55.0 48  
9537x 
Tatiara 3 () (Robbie Laing)     Jye Mc Neil  
55.0 39.5  


7 
Mccafe Caulfield Sprint $300,0001000m
GOOD 4 WT:53.0 Type:OPEN Group 2 API:37.9 Surface:T Just check the track re barrier 13:45 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
657x1 
Crystal Dreamer 7 () (Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra)     Damian Lane  
59.0 49.5  
21424 
Malibu Style 6 () (Neville Parnham)     Michael Dee  
58.5 51  
650x0 
Tactical Advantage 10 () (Kris Lees)     Damien Oliver  
57.5 53 $16.00 
32x72 
Miss Leonidas 1 () (Shaun Dwyer)     Stephen Baster  
57.0 58 $2.35 
1653x 
Intuition 5 () (James Cummings)     Ben Melham  
55.0 47.5  
x34x0 
Badajoz 4 () (James Cummings)     Dean Yendall  
54.5 46.5  
117x7 
I Am Immortal 9 () (Anthony Freedman)     Jye Mc Neil  
53.0 46  
116x3 
Not Enough Effort 8 () (Sharyn Trolove)     Ben Allen  
53.0 55.0 $6.60 
x2132 
God Of Thunder 3 () (Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes)     Dwayne Dunn  
53.0 55.5 $4.50 
10 143x 
Mclaren 2 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)     Craig Williams  
53.0 40.5  

8 
Ladbrokes Moonga Stakes $200,0001400m
GOOD 4 4U Type:OPEN Group 3 API:41.9 Surface:T Too hard4:30 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
2460x 
Land Of Plenty 2 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)     Damian Lane  
60.0 51 $9.50 
11x 
Royal Meeting 8 () (Saeed Bin Suroor)     Pat Cosgrave  
60.0 52.5 $6.50 
4980x 
Moss 'n' Dale 7 () (Peter Gelagotis)     Jack Martin  
58.5 48 $31.00 
x5040 
Streets Of Avalon 9 () (Shane Nichols)     Ben Melham  
58.5 52 $7.00 
6x044 
Terbium 4 () (Phillip Stokes)     Luke Nolen  
58.5 48 $31.00 
25x83 
Tom Melbourne 3 () (Chris Waller)     Michael Walker  
58.0 50.5 $11.00 
40x92 
Manolo Blahniq 1 () (Tony Noonan)     J Noonan  
58.0 52 $7.00 
23x27 
Variation 6 () (Stephen Miller)     Damien Oliver  
57.0 50 $13.00 
1x439 
Desert Lord 5 () (Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes)     Dwayne Dunn  
57.0 51.5 $8.00 

9 
Stella Artois Caulfield Cup $5,000,0002400m
GOOD 4 WT:50.0 Type:OPEN Group 1 API:75.22 Surface:T The 4th Emerg! Good Luck!5:15 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
34443 
Hartnell 17 () (James Cummings)     Brad Rawiller  
58.0 55.5  
1322x 
Mirage Dancer 13 () (Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young)     Ben Melham  
56.0 60 $9.50 
11x1x 
Mer De Glace 21 () (H Shimizu)     Damian Lane  
55.5 57.5 $26.00 
72351 
Mustajeer 16 () (Kris Lees)     Damien Oliver  
55.5 59.5 $11.00 
57x79 
Rostropovich 18 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Dwayne Dunn  
55.5 54.5  
4x512 
Finche 19 () (Chris Waller)     Michael Walker  
54.5 57.5 $26.00 
4x12x 
Gold Mount 4 () (Ian Williams)     Mark Du Plessis  
54.5 58 $21.00 
15610 
Red Verdon 15 () (Ed Dunlop)     Pat Cosgrave  
54.5 55.5  
1x658 
Angel Of Truth 14 () (Gwenda Markwell)     Dean Yendall  
54.0 57 $41.00 
10 26x75 
Big Duke 1 () (Kris Lees)     Brett Prebble  
54.0 55  
11 21222 
Constantinople 7 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Luke Nolen  
53.0 59 $14.00 
12 31x30 
Mr Quickie 10 () (Phillip Stokes)     J Allen  
53.0 59.5 $11.00 
13 9x603 
Crown Prosecutor 2 () (Stephen Marsh)     Craig Grylls  
52.5 55.5  
14 621x4 
Vow And Declare 9 () (Danny O'brien)     Craig Williams  
52.5 59 $14.00 
15 x0919 
Brimham Rocks 20 () (Chris Waller)     Michael Dee  
52.0 56.5  
16 1x591 
The Chosen One 22 () (Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman)     Stephen Baster  
52.0 56  
17 x2058 
Qafila 6 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Cory Parish  
51.5 58 $21.00 
18 18531 
Wolfe 5 () (G Waterhouse & A Bott)     Beau Mertens  
50.0 58.5 $16.00 
E19 48x07 
Sound 8 () (Michael Moroney)     James Winks  
54.0 55.5  
E20 x8070 
Neufbosc 3 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Jye Mc Neil  
54.0 53.5  
E21 x1276 
True Self 12 () (Willie Mullins)     Declan Bates  
52.0 57 $41.00 
E22 x5832 
Prince Of Arran 11 () (Charlie Fellowes)     Jamie Kah  
53.5 62 $5.50 

10 
Schweppes Tristarc Stakes $300,0001400m
GOOD 4 4UM Type:OPEN Group 2 API:35.46 Surface:T Nasty race - no bets5:50 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
611x4 
Invincibella 1 () (Chris Waller)     Michael Walker  
59.0 50.5  
06x75 
Aristia 9 () (Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra)     Damian Lane  
59.0 51 $21.00 
6x219 
Spanish Whisper 12 () (D & B Hayes & T Dabernig)     Jye Mc Neil  
58.0 49  
5310x 
Etana 2 () (Ciaron Maher & David Eustace)     J Allen  
58.0 44.5  
641x7 
Celebrity Dream 13 () (Chris Waller)     M Harley  
57.0 47  
213x4 
Savatiano 15 () (James Cummings)     Craig Williams  
57.0 50.5  
32x42 
Pohutukawa 11 () (James Cummings)     Brad Rawiller  
57.0 54 $5.50 
201x1 
Baccarat Baby 3 () (David Vandyke)     Michael Hellyer  
57.0 50.5  
x750x 
Jamaican Rain 5 () (Richard Laming)     Ben Melham  
57.0 49  
10 949x5 
Naantali 4 () (Ciaron Maher & David Eustace)     Jamie Kah  
56.0 56 $3.20 
11 32x23 
Angelic Ruler 14 () (Daniel & Ben Pearce)     Damien Oliver  
56.0 53.5 $6.50 
12 4183x 
Krone 10 () (Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr.)     Brett Prebble  
56.0 46  
13 380x6 
Teleplay 8 () (Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr.)     Michael Dee  
56.0 51 $21.00 
14 03x49 
Bella Martini 6 () (Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes)     Dwayne Dunn  
55.0 54 $5.50 
15 3525x 
Sheezdashing 7 () (Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra)     Dean Yendall  
55.0 47.5  



Randwick Raceguide - 19 October 2019
Rail: True.    Track: GOOD 4   Mostly Sunny (Max: 25)

6 
Camera House Sydney Stakes $500,0001200m
GOOD 4 3U Type:OPEN Group 3 API:74.48 Surface:T Little value3:25 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
621x1 
Brutal 2 () (Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes)     Tommy Berry  
58.5 60.5 $2.45 
70x52 
Home Of The Brave 6 () (James Cummings)     Glyn Schofield  
58.5 59 $3.60 
221x8 
Brave Song 3 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)     Kerrin Mcevoy  
58.5 54 $41.00 
0x635 
Dothraki 11 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)     Brenton Avdulla  
58.5 53  
350x2 
Easy Eddie 9 () (Joseph Pride)     Robbie Dolan  
58.5 54.5 $31.00 
1x127 
Deprive 12 () (James Cummings)     Hugh Bowman  
58.5 52  
2720x 
Kaspersky 5 () (Michelle Payne)     Michelle Payne  
58.5 47.5  
017x4 
Redouble 4 () (Bjorn Baker)     Tim Clark  
58.5 51  
23x56 
Jonker 1 () (David Atkins)     Glen Boss  
58.5 52.5  
10 7421x 
Sir Plush 13 () (Bjorn Baker)     Josh Parr  
58.5 43.5  
11 2x40x 
Sandbar 10 () (Brad Widdup)     Christian Reith  
58.5 46.5  
12 47x32 
Champagne Cuddles 7 () (Bjorn Baker)     Nash Rawiller  
56.5 56.5 $9.50 
13 1607x 
Fiesta 8 () (Chris Waller)     James Mcdonald  
56.5 50.5  

7 
The Tab Everest $14,000,0001200m
GOOD 4 Type:OPEN API:174.61 Surface:T Poor value4:15 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
514x2 
Santa Ana Lane 2 () (Anthony Freedman)     Mark Zahra  
58.5 65 $6.50 
51x21 
Pierata 1 () (Gregory Hickman)     Tommy Berry  
58.5 63.5 $10.00 
62x13 
Redzel 7 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)     Kerrin Mcevoy  
58.5 63 $12.00 
14x41 
Nature Strip 12 () (Chris Waller)     Tim Clark  
58.5 60.5 $31.00 
31x81 
Trekking 5 () (James Cummings)     Josh Parr  
58.5 63 $12.00 
31x23 
Classique Legend 8 () (L J Bridge)     Nash Rawiller  
58.5 64 $8.00 
x5416 
Ten Sovereigns 11 () (A P O'brien)     Ryan Moore  
58.0 57  
06x13 
Alizee 10 () (James Cummings)     Hugh Bowman  
56.5 62 $16.00 
3x531 
Sunlight 6 () (T & C Mcevoy)     Luke Currie  
56.5 62 $16.00 
10 2x16x 
In Her Time 4 () (Kris Lees)     Brenton Avdulla  
56.5 53.5  
11 111x1 
Arcadia Queen 3 () (Chris Waller)     James Mcdonald  
56.5 64.5 $7.00 
12 17x22 
Yes Yes Yes 9 () (Chris Waller)     Glen Boss  
53.0 62 $16.00 
E13 621x1 
Brutal 13 () (Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes)       
58.5 59  
E14 70x52 
Home Of The Brave 14 () (James Cummings)       
58.5 57  
E15 47x32 
Champagne Cuddles 15 () (Bjorn Baker)       
56.5 54  
E16 221x8 
Brave Song 16 () (Peter & Paul Snowden)       
58.5 51.5  

8 
Yulong Australia Craven Plate $500,0002000m
GOOD 4 3U Type:OPEN Group 3 API:35.34 Surface:T Risky race4:50 pm

TABFF
HORSE BP (DISPLAYBP) (TRAINER)JOCKEY  
WTFRDiv
84x23 
Happy Clapper 7 () (Patrick Webster)     Tommy Berry  
59.0 58.5 $5.50 
x1162 
Samadoubt 6 () (Bjorn Baker)     Tim Clark  
59.0 61 $2.90 
24x03 
Life Less Ordinary 5 () (Chris Waller)     Hugh Bowman  
59.0 57.5 $8.50 
20214 
Stampede 9 () (G Waterhouse & A Bott)     A Hyeronimus  
59.0 59 $5.00 
70x64 
Tally 3 () (James Cummings)     Josh Parr  
59.0 56.5 $14.00 
8x547 
Cascadian 2 () (James Cummings)     Kerrin Mcevoy  
59.0 52.5  
0x600 
The Candy Man 1 () (Barry Baldwin)     Glen Boss  
59.0 49.5  
0052x 
Harper's Choice 8 () (Gerald Ryan)     James P Innes  
59.0 51.5  
37x59 
Danzdanzdance 4 () (Chris Waller)     Nash Rawiller  
57.0 53.5  
10 04111 
Maid Of Ore - () (Nick Olive)       
57.0  scr 






STAKING

For those that want a super easy staking approach that suits the Tajodds.com best bets for members we recommend:

1. Use 1% of your punting bank per unit bet. This means that if your REAL bank for punting has $5000 in the account, you bet $50 per unit

2. Back each runner to win with 1 unit if that selection is under $10
3. Back each runner with 1 unit (25% win and 75% place) if the selection can be backed at $10 or over


If you want something more refined that takes advantage of the overlays available and manages risk you can use the KELLY approach. Just enter the total bank (e.g. $5000), the decimal odds you can get (the best odds you got e.g. 7.00), the % chance you rated the horse (e.g. .20 if a $5.00 chance). The formula will tell you to bet $55.50 on this scenario

https://www.puntingstars.com.au/tools/kelly-criterion-calculator

Of course you would only ever bet when your assessed price is overs to what you intend taking!






















































































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